Indications of a paradigm shift

brunstad-bjornMy good friend and fellow futurist, Bjorn Brunstad has been working on future studies, searching for paradigm shifts lately. He generously shared these indicators of a paradigm shift with me.

Prior to a paradigm shift we will observe the following:

  • Vested interests protect existing paradigm and deter challenging concepts
  • Some of the activities that prolong the existing, become absurd
  • Risk taking entrepreneurs and new technologies enable new solutions
  • Actors suffering from existing paradigm support new regime
  • Parent mindset about the new paradigm is not generally understood, and the new is often valued based on old measures

Just prior, or within a paradigm shift we will observe the following:

  • Solutions supporting the old paradigm create and prolong serious problems and the number of protests increases
  • The resource base for the old paradigm weakens
  • Important actors leave the old paradigm

and then…

  • The new reaches a tipping-point of learning-, scale- and networking effects
  • Major actors decide to support the new paradigm
  • Solutions are created, based on their own premises

Now, go ahead and see if you can locate upcoming paradigm shifts :-)

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