Archive for May, 2009

Exponential growth

The more I work with future studies, the more aware I become of the impact of exponential growth. Have a look at this video clip from YouTube. It gives you an idea of what we are talking about. For the first time ever, we have reached this point of development were things really speed up. To understand exponential development is probably the most important thing we do today. Research show that our intuition is linear which makes it difficult for us to “feel” exponential development. In other words; we have to actively correct our impression of development by use of intellect. In this case; do not follow your hart, follow your brain. Chris Martinson does also address this topic in his Crash Course chapter 3, which I highly recommend. Helge Hasvold :-)

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Indications of a paradigm shift

brunstad-bjornMy good friend and fellow futurist, Bjorn Brunstad has been working on future studies, searching for paradigm shifts lately. He generously shared these indicators of a paradigm shift with me.

Prior to a paradigm shift we will observe the following:

  • Vested interests protect existing paradigm and deter challenging concepts
  • Some of the activities that prolong the existing, become absurd
  • Risk taking entrepreneurs and new technologies enable new solutions
  • Actors suffering from existing paradigm support new regime
  • Parent mindset about the new paradigm is not generally understood, and the new is often valued based on old measures

» Continue reading “Indications of a paradigm shift”

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NRK strategy towards 2025

nrk_logo_2The Norwegian Boardcasting Coporation is doing a scenario based strategy process facilitated by Foresight Norge AS. The timehorizon is year 2025, and it is the beginning of a continuous strategy process making use of foresight tools. For more information; contact Helge Hasvold.

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